> about > science > resources > calendar > people



resources/products


Additional References: Newsletter 2008/2
"Data-Model Comparison"


There are references for the following articles:

M. Chandler, H. Dowsett and A. Haywood

Barron, J.A., 1992a: Pliocene paleoclimatic interpretation of DSDP Site 580 (NW Pacific) using diatoms, Marine Micropaleontology, 20: 23-44.

Barron, J.A., 1992b: Paleoceanographic and tectonic controls on the Pliocene diatom record of California. In: Tsuchi, R. and Ingle, J.C., Jr. (Eds.), Pacific Neogene: Environment, Evolution, and Events, University of Tokyo Press, Tokyo, 25-41.

Chandler, M., Rind, D. and Thompson, R., 1994: Joint investigations of the middle Pliocene climate II: GISS GCM Northern Hemisphere results, Global and Planetary Change, 9: 197-219.

Cronin, T.M. and Dowsett, H.J., (Eds.), 1991: Pliocene Climates, Quaternary Science Reviews, 10: 115-296.

Cronin, T.M., Whatley, R.C., Wood, A., Tsukagoshi, A., Ikeya, N., Brouwers, E.M. and Briggs, W.M., 1993: Microfaunal evidence for elevated mid-Pliocene temperatures in the Arctic Ocean, Paleoceanography, 8: 161-173.

Cronin, T. M., Dowsett, H.J., Dwyer, G.S., Baker, P.A. and Chandler, M.A., 2005: Mid-Pliocene deep-sea bottom water temperatures based on ostracode Mg/Ca ratios, Marine Micropaleontology, 54: 249-261.

Dowsett, H.J., 2007: The PRISM Palaeoclimate Reconstruction and Pliocene Sea-Surface Temperature. In: Williams, M., et al., (Eds.), Deep-time perspectives on climate change: marrying the signal from computer models and biological proxies, The Micropalaeontological Society, Special Publication, The Geological Society, London, 459-480.

Dowsett, H.J. and Poore, R.Z., 1991: Pliocene sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic Ocean at 3.0 Ma, Quaternary Science Reviews, 10: 189-204.

Dowsett, H.J., Thompson, R.S., Barron, J.A., Cronin, T.M., Fleming, R.F., Ishman, S.E., Poore, R.Z., Willard, D.A. and Holtz, T.R., 1994: Joint investigations of the middle Pliocene climate I: PRISM paleoenvironmental reconstructions, Global and Planetary Change, 9: 169-195.

Dowsett, H.J., Cronin, T.M., Poore, R.Z., Thompson, R.S., Whatley, R.C. and Wood, A.M., 1992: Micropaleontological evidence for increased meridional heat transport in the North Atlantic Ocean during the Pliocene, Science, 258: 1133-1135.

Dowsett, H., Barron, J. and Poore, R., 1996: Middle Pliocene sea surface temperatures: a global reconstruction, Marine Micropaleontology, 27: 13-26.

Dowsett, H.J., Barron, J.A., Poore, R.Z., Thompson, R.S., Cronin, T.M., Ishman, S.E. and Willard, D.A., 1999: Pliocene paleoenvironmental reconstruction: PRISM2, U.S. Geological Survey Open File Report, 99-535: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/of99-535/

Dowsett, H.J., Chandler, M.A., Cronin, T.M. and Dwyer, G.S., 2005: Middle Pliocene sea surface temperature variability, Paleoceanography, 20: PA2014, doi:10.1029/2005PA001133.

Dowsett, H., Robinson, M., Dwyer, G., Chandler, M. and Cronin, T., 2006: PRISM3 DOT1 Atlantic Basin Reconstruction, U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, 189: http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/2006/189/

Haywood, A.M. and Valdes P.J., 2004: Modelling Pliocene warmth: contribution of atmosphere, oceans and cryosphere, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 218: 363-377.

Hill, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Hindmarsh, R.C.A., Valdes P.J., 2007: Characterising ice sheets during the mid Pliocene: evidence from data and models. In: Williams, M., et al., (Eds.), Deep-time perspectives on climate change: marrying the signal from computer models and biological proxies, The Micropalaeontological Society, Special Publication, The Geological Society, London, 517-538.

Ikeya, N. and Cronin, T., 1993: Quantitative analysis of ostracoda and water masses around Japan: application to Pliocene and Pleistocene paleoceanography, Micropaleontology, 39: 263-281.

Poore, R.Z. and Sloan, L.C., (Eds.), 1996: Climates and Climate Variability of the Pliocene, Marine Micropaleontology, 27: 327 pp.

Salzmann, U., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Hill, D.J., 2008: A New Global Biome Reconstruction and Data-Model Comparison for the Middle Pliocene, Global Ecology and Biogeography, doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2008.00381x.

Sloan, L.C., Crowley, T.J. and Pollard, D., 1996: Modeling of middle Pliocene climate with the NCAR GENESIS general circulation model, Marine Micropaleontology, 27: 51-61.

Thompson, R.S. and Fleming, R.F., 1996: Middle Pliocene vegetation: reconstructions, paleoclimatic inferences, and boundary conditions for climatic modeling, Marine Micropaleontology, 27: 13-26.

Wara, M.W., Ravelo, A.C., and DeLaney, M.L., 2005: Permanent El Nino-like conditions during the Pliocene warm period, Science, 309: 758-761.

H. Goosse, M.E. Mann, H. Renssen and A. Timmermann

Collins, M., 2003: Quantitative use of paleo-proxy data in global circulation models, Geophysical Research Abstracts, 5: 0114

Goosse, H., Renssen, H., Timmermann, A. and Bradley, R.S., 2005: Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: A model-data comparison using ensemble simulations, Quaternary Science Review, 24: 1345-1360

Goosse H., Renssen, H., Timmermann A., Bradley R.S. and Mann, M.E., 2006: Using paleoclimate proxy-data to select optimal realisations in an ensemble of simulations of the climate of the past millennium, Climate Dynamics, 27: 165-184, DOI 10.1007/s00382-006-0128-6.

Jansen, E., et al., 2007: Palaeoclimate. In: Solomon, S. et al, (Eds), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA.

Jones, J. and Widmann, M., 2003: Reconstructing large-scale variability from paleoclimatic evidence by means of Data Assimilation Through Upscaling and Nudging (DATUN). In: Fischer et al. (Eds) The KIHZ project: towards a synthesis of Holocene proxy data and Climate models, Springer, Berlin, 171-193.

Mann, M.E. and Jones P.D., 2003: Global surface temperatures over the past two millennia, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(15): 1820, doi:10.1029/2003GL017814.

Mann M.E., Cane, M.A., Zebiak, S.E. and Clement, A., 2005: Volcanic and solar forcing of the tropical Pacific over the past 1000 years, Journal of Climate, 18(3): 447-456.

Robock, A., 2000: Volcanic eruptions and climate, Reviews of Geophysics, 38: 191-219

van der Schrier, G. and Barkmeijer J., 2005: Bjerknes’ hypothesis on the coldness during 1790-1820 AD revisited, Climate Dynamics, 25(5): 537-553

Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E., Rind D. and Waple, A., 2001: Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder Minimum, Science, 294: 2149-2152

Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Miller, R. and Mann M.E., 2003: Volcanic and Solar forcing of Climate Change During the Pre-Industrial era, Journal of Climate, 16: 4094-4107

Tett, S.F.B., Betts, R., Crowley, T.J., Gregory, J., Johns, T.C., Jones, A., Osborn, T.J., Ostrom, E., Roberts, D.L. and Woodage, M.J., 2007: The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550, Climate Dynamics, 28(1): 3-34.

M. Mudelsee and M.P. Girardin

Amiro, B.D., Todd, J.B., Wotton, B.M., Logan, K.A., Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., Mason, J.A., Martell, D.L. and Hirsch, K.G., 2001: Direct carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires, 1959–1999, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31(3): 512–525.

Challenor, P., 2004: The probability of rapid climate change, Significance, 1(4): 155–158.

Flannigan, M.D., Amiro, B.D., Logan, K.A., Stocks, B.J. and Wotton, B.M., 2006: Forest fires and climate change in the 21st century, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 11(4): 847–859.

Girardin, M.-P., Tardif, J., Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M. and Bergeron, Y., 2004: Trends and periodicities in the Canadian Drought Code and their relationships with atmospheric circulation for the southern Canadian boreal forest, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34(1): 103–119.

Girardin, M.-P. and Tardif, J., 2005: Sensitivity of tree growth to the atmospheric vertical profile in the Boreal Plains of Manitoba, Canada, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 35(1): 48–64.

Girardin, M.P., Bergeron, Y., Tardif, J.C., Gauthier, S., Flannigan, M.D. and Mudelsee, M., 2006: A 229-year dendroclimatic-inferred record of forest fire activity for the Boreal Shield of Canada, International Journal of Wildland Fire, 15(3): 375–388.

Girardin, M.P. and Mudelsee, M., in press: Past and future changes in Canadian boreal wildfire activity, Ecological Applications.

Kurz, W.A., Apps, M.J., Stocks, B.J. and Volney, W.J.A., 1995: Global climate change: Disturbance regimes and biospheric feedbacks of temperate and boreal forests. In: Woodwell, G.M. and Mackenzie, F.T., (Eds) Biotic Feedbacks in the Global Climate System: Will the Warming Speed the Warming? Oxford University Press, 119–133.

Mudelsee, M., Börngen, M., Tetzlaff, G. and Grünewald, U., 2003: No upward trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe, Nature, 425(6954): 166–169.

Mudelsee, M., Börngen, M., Tetzlaff, G. and Grünewald, U., 2004: Extreme floods in central Europe over the past 500 years: Role of cyclone pathway “Zugstrasse Vb”, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109(D23): D23101, doi:10.1029/2004JD005034.

Mudelsee, M., 2006: CLIM-X-DETECT: A Fortran 90 program for robust detection of extremes against a time-dependent background in climate records, Computers and Geosciences, 32(1): 141–144.

Solomon, S.S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M., Averyt, K., Tignor, M.M.B., Miller, H.LeR., Jr. and Chen, Z., 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 996pp.

Stocks, B.J. et al., 2003: Large forest fires in Canada, 1959–1997, Journal of Geophysical Research, 108(D1): 8149, doi:10.1029/2001JD000484.

Turner, J.A., 1972: The drought code component of the Canadian Forest Fire Behavior System. Canadian Forestry Service Publication No. 1316, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

G. Jan van Oldenborgh

Brandsma, T., Können, G.P., and Wessels, H.R.A., 2003: Estimation of the effect of urban heat advection on the temperature series of De Bilt (The Netherlands). International Journal of Climatology, 23: 829–845.

Fan, Y. and van den Dool, H., 2007: A global monthly land surface air temperature analysis for 1948-present. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113: D01103, doi:10.1029/2007JD008470.

Fischer, E.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Lüthi, D. and Schär, C., 2007: Contribution of land-atmosphere coupling to recent European summer heat waves, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L06707, doi:10.1029/2006GL029068.

Jungclaus, J.H., Keenlyside, N., Botzet, M., Haak, H., Luo, J.-J., Latif, M., Marotzke, J., Mikolajewicz, U. and Roeckner, E., 2006: Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, Journal of Climate, 19: 3952–3972, doi:10.1175/JCLI3827.1.

Luterbacher, J., Liniger, M.A., Menzel, A., Estrella, N., Della-Marta, P.M., Pfister, C., Rutishauser, T. and Xoplaki, E., 2007: The exceptional European warmth of autumn 2006 and winter 2007: Historical context, the underlying dynamics and its phenological impacts, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L12704, doi:10.1029/2007GL029951.

Schär, C. and Jendritzky, G., 2004: Hot news from summer 2003, Nature, 432: 559–560.

Seneviratne, S.I., Lüthi, D., Litschi, M. and Schär, C., 2006: Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe, Nature, 443: 205–209, doi:10.1038/nature05095.

van Engelen, A. and Nellestijn, J.W., 1996: Monthly, seasonal and annual means of air temperature in tenths of centigrades in De Bilt, Netherlands, 1706-1995, Technical report, KNMI.

van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., et al., 2006: KNMI climate change scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands, WR 2006-01, KNMI, www.knmi.nl/climatescenarios.

van Oldenborgh, G.J., 2007: How unusual was autumn 2006 in Europe? Climate of the Past, 3: 659–668, www.clim-past.net/3/659/2007/

van Ulden, A.P. and van Oldenborgh, G.J., 2006: Large-scale atmospheric circulation biases and changes in global climate model simulations and their importance for climate change in Central Europe, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 6: 863–881.

B.L. Otto-Bliesner and E. Brady

Adkins, J.F., McIntyre, K. and Schrag, D.P., 2002: The salinity, temperature, and d18O of the glacial deep ocean, Science, 298: 1769-1773.

Arzel, O., Fichefet, T. and Goosse, H., 2006: Sea ice evolution over the 20th and 21st centuries as simulated by the current AOGCMs, Ocean Modelling, 12: 401–415.

Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Hewitt, C.D., Kageyama, M., Kitoh, A., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Motoi, T., Ohgaito, R., Peltier, W.R.,Valdes, J., Weber, L., Zhao, Y., 2007: Results of the PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum. Part 1: experiments and large scale features, Climate of the Past, 3: 261-277.

CLIMAP project members, 1981: Seasonal reconstructions of the earth's surface at the Last Glacial Maximum, 18 pp, Geological Society of America Map and Chart Series MC-36.

Crosta, X., 2007: Late Quaternary Antarctic sea-ice history: Evidence from deep-sea sediments, PAGES News, 15: 13-14.

Dallenbach, A., Blunier, T., Fluckiger, J., Stauffer, B., Chappellaz, J. and Raynaud, D., 2000: Changes in the atmospheric CH4 gradient between Greenland and Antarctica during the Last Glacial and the transition to the Holocene, Geophysical Research Letters, 27: 1005-1008.

Fluckiger, J., Dallenbach, A., Blunier, T., Stauffer, B., Stocker, T.F., Raynaud, D. and Barnola, J.-M., 1999: Variations in atmospheric N2O concentration during abrupt climatic changes, Science, 285: 227-230.

Gersonde, R., Crosta, X., Abelmann, A. and Armand, L., 2005: Sea-surface temperature and sea ice distribution of the Southern Ocean at the EPILOG Last Glacial Maximum - a circum-Antarctic view based on siliceous microfossil records, Quaternary Science Review, 24: 869-896.

Hewitt, C.D., and Mitchell, J.F.B., 1997: Radiative forcing and response of a GCM to ice age boundary conditions: cloud feedback and climate sensitivity, Climate Dynamics, 13: 821-834.

Holland, M. M., C. M. Bitz, and A. J. Weaver, 2001: The influence of sea ice physics on simulations of climate change. J. Geophys. Res., 106: 19,639-19,655.

Monnin, E., Indermuhle, A., Dallenbach, A., Fluckiger, J., Stauffer, B., Stocker, T.F., Raynaud, D. and Barnola, J.M., 2001: Atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the last glacial termination, Science, 291: 112-114.

Morales Maqueda, M.A., and Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Did Antarctic sea-ice expansion cause glacial CO2 decline?, Geophysical Research Letters, 29: 1011, 1010.1029/2001GL013240.

Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Brady, E.C., Clauzet, G., Tomas, R., Levis, S. and Kothavala, Z., 2006: Last Glacial Maximum and Holocene climate in CCSM3, Journal of Climate, 19: 2526-2544.

Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Hewitt, C.D., Marchitto, T.M., Brady, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Murakami, S. and Weber, S.L., 2007: Last Glacial Maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: PMIP2model intercomparisons and data constraints, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L12706, doi:10.1029/2007GL029475.

Peltier, W.R., 2004: Global glacial isostasy and the surface of the ice-age Earth: the ICE-5G (VM2) model and GRACE, Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 32: 111-149.

Schmittner, A., Latif, M. and Schneider, B., 2005: Model projections of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation for the 21st century assessed by observations, Geophysical Research Letters, 32: 10.1029/2005GL024368.

Shin, S.-I, Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Kutzbach, J.E. and Vavrus, S. 2003: Southern ocean sea-ice control of the glacial North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 30: 1096, doi:1010.1029/2002GL015513.

Stephens, B.B., and Keeling, R.F., 2000: The influence of Antarctic sea ice on glacial-interglacial CO2 variations, Nature, 404: 171-174.

Table 1: Information on the models discussed by Otto-Bliesner and Brady, PAGES News 16(2) 2008.

Model Acronym

Definition

Location

Model Type

More Information

CCSM3

Community Climate System Model version 3

The National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

Coupled general circulation model

click here

HadCM3M2

Hadley Center Model 3

Met Office Hadley Center, Exeter, UK

Coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model

click here

click here

click here

FGOALs-g1.0

LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China

Coupled general circulation model

click here

IPSL-CM4-V1-MR

Institute Pierre Simon Laplace

The Institute Pierre Simon Laplace, Paris, France

click here

MIROC (CCSR/NIES/FRCGC MIROC3.2.2)

Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate

Center for Climate System Research (CCSR), University of Tokyo; National Institute or Environmental Studies (NIES); Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC); Japan

Coupled general circulation model (includes atmosphere, land, river, sea ice and ocean)

click here

ECBilt-CLIO (KNMI ECBilt/Louvain-la-Neuve CLIO)

Netherlands Center for Climate Research

Intermediate complexity, 3-D, coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice general circulation model.

C.C. Raible, R. De Jong, T.F. Stocker and M. Yoshimori

De Jong, R., Björck, S., Björkman, L. and Clemmensen, L.B., 2006: Storminess variations during the last 6500 years as reconstructed from an ombrotrophic peak bog in Halland, SW Sweden, Journal of Quaternary Science, 21:905–919.

De Jong, R., Schoning, K. and Björck, S., 2007: Increased aeolian activity during humidity shifts as recorded in a raised bog in south-west Sweden during the past 1700 years, Climate of the Past, 3:411-422.

Hendy, E.J., Gagan, M.K., Alibert, M.T., McCulloch, M.T., Lough, J.M. and Isdale P.J., 2002: Abrupt decrease in tropical Pacific sea surface salinity at end of Little Ice Age, Science, 295:1511–1514.

Luterbacher, J., Rickli, R., Xoplaki, E., Tinguely, C., Beck, C., Pfister, C. and Wanner, H., 2001: The late Maunder Minimum (1675-1715) - a key period for studying decadal scale climatic change in Europe, Climate Change, 49:441–462.

Raible, C.C., Yoshimori, M., Stocker, T.F. and Casty, C., 2007: Extreme midlatitude cyclones and their implications to precipitation and wind speed extremes in simulations of the Maunder Minimum versus present day conditions, Climate Dynamics, 28: 409-423.

Rind, D., Shindell, D., Perlwitz, J., Lerner, J., Lonergan, P., Lean, J. and McLinden, C., 2004: The relative importance of solar and anthropogenic forcing of climate change between the Maunder Minimum and the present, Journal of Climate, 17:906–929.

Yoshimori, M., T.F. Stocker, C.C. Raible, and M. Renold, 2005: Externally-forced and internal variability in ensemble climate simulations of the Maunder Minimum, Journal of Climate, 18: 4253-4270.

Yoshimori, M., Raible, C.C., Stocker, T.F. and Renold, M., 2006: On the interpretation of low-latitude hydrological proxy records based on Maunder Minimum AOGCM simulations, Climate Dynamics, 27: 493-513.

N. Rimbu, G. Lohmann and K. Grosfeld

Barriopedro, D., Garcia-Herrera, R., Lupo, A.R. and Hernandez, E., 2006: A climatology of Northern Hemisphere blocking, Journal of Climate, 19: 1042-1063.

Crüger, T., Fischer, H. and von Storch, H., 2004: What do accumulation records of single ice cores in Greenland represent? Journal of Geophysical Research, 109: D21110, doi: 10.1029/2004JD005014.

Diao, Y., Li, J. and Luo, D., 2006: A new blocking index and its application: blocking action in the Northern Hemisphere, Journal of Climatology, 19: 4819-4839.

Miller, H. and Schwager, M., 2000a: Accumulation rate and stable oxygen isotope ratios of ice core ngt14C93.2 from the North Greenland Traverse, PANGAEA, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.57158

Miller, H. and Schwager, M., 2000b: Accumulation rate and stable oxygen isotope ratios of ice core ngt27C94.2 from the North Greenland Traverse, PANGAEA, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.57291

Miller, H. and Schwager, M., 2000c: Accumulation rate and stable oxygen isotope ratios of ice core ngt37C95.2 from the North Greenland Traverse, PANGAEA, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.57297

Miller, H. and Schwager, M., 2000d: Accumulation rate and stable oxygen isotope ratios of ice core ngt42C95.2 from the North Greenland Traverse, PANGAEA, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.57654

Miller, H. and Schwager, M., 2004: Accumulation rate and stable oxygen isotope ratios of ice core ngt03C93.2 from the North Greenland Traverse, PANGAEA, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.218274

Peixoto, J.P. and Oort, A.H., 1992: Physics of Climate, Springer, New York, 520 pp.

Philipp, A., Dell-Marta, P.M., Wanner, H., Fereday, D.R., Jones, P.D. and Moberg, A., 2007: Long-term variability of daily North Atlantic-European pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering, Journal of Climate, 20: 4065-4095.

Rimbu, N., Lohmann, G. and Grosfeld, K., 2007: Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking in ice core accumulation records from northern Greenland, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L09704, doi:10.1029/2006GL029175.

Schwager, M., 2000: Ice core analysis on the spatial and temporal variability of temperature and precipitation during the late Holocene in North Greenland, Reports on Polar Research, 362: Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.

Tibaldi, S. and Molteni, F., 1990: On the operational predictability of blocking, Tellus series A, 42: 343-365.

T. Schneider von Deimling, H. Held, A. Ganopolski and S. Rahmstorf

Annan, J., Hargreaves, J., Ohgaito, R., Abe-Ouchi, A. and Emori, S., 2005: Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles of Paleoclimate Simulations, SOLA, 1:181-184.

Covey, C., Sloan, L.C. and Hoffert, M.I., 1996: Paleoclimate data constraints on climate sensitivity: The paleocalibration method, Climatic Change, 32(2): 165-184.

Crucifix, M., 2006: Does the Last Glacial Maximum constrain climate sensitivity?, Geophysical Research Letters, 33(18): doi:10.1029/2006GL027137.

Edwards, T.L., Crucifix, M. and Harrison, S.P., 2007: Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming, Progress in Physical Geography, 31(5): 481-500.

Hargreaves, J.C., Abe-Ouchi, A. and Annan, J.D., 2007: Linking glacial and future climates through an ensemble of GCM simulations, Climate of the Past, 3(1): 77-87.

Meehl, G.A., et al., 2007: Chapter 10: Global Climate Projections. In: IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Cambridge University Press, 749-836.

Petoukhov, V., Ganopolski, A., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Eliseev, A., Kubatzki, C. and Rahmstorf, S., 2000: CLIMBER-2: a climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part I: model description and performance for present climate, Climate Dynamics, 16: 1.

Schneider von Deimling, T., Ganopolski, A., Held, H. and Rahmstorf, S., 2006a: How cold was the Last Glacial Maximum?, Geophysical Research Letters, 33(14): doi:10.1029/2006GL026484.

Schneider von Deimling, T., Held, H., Ganopolski, A. and Rahmstorf, S., 2006b: Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial climate, Climate Dynamics, 27(2-3): 149-163.

A.P. Wiersma, D.M. Roche and H. Renssen

Alley, R.B., Mayewski, P.A., Sowers, T., Stuiver, M., Taylor, K.C. and Clark, P.U., 1997: Holocene Climatic Instability - a Prominent, Widespread Event 8200 Yr Ago, Geology, 25: 483-486.

Barber, D.C. et al., 1999: Forcing of the cold event of 8,200 years ago by catastrophic drainage of Laurentide lakes, Nature, 400: 344-348.

Brovkin, V., Bendtsen, J., Claussen, M., Ganopolski, A., Kubatzki, C., Petoukhov, V. and Andreev, A., 2002: Carbon cycle, vegetation and climate dynamics in the Holocene: experiments with the CLIMBER-2 model, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 16: 1139

Goosse, H. and Fichefet, T., 1999: Importance of ice-ocean interactions for the global ocean circulation: A model study, Journal of Geophysical Research, 104: 23,337-23,355.

Kobashi, T., Severinghaus, J.P., Brook, E.J., Barnola, J.-M. and Grachev, A.M., 2007: Precise timing and characterization of abrupt climate change 8200 years ago from air trapped in polar ice, Quaternary Science Reviews, 26: 1212-1222.

Opsteegh, J.D., Haarsma, R.J., Selten, F.M. and Kattenberg, A., 1998: ECBILT: a dynamic alternative to mixed boundary conditions in ocean models, Tellus, 50A: 348-367.

Stott, P.A., Tett, S.F.B, Jones, G.S., Allen, M.R., Mitchell, J.F.B., Jenkins, G.J., 2000: External Control of 20th Century Temperature by Natural and Anthropogenic Forcings, Science, 290: 2133-2137

Thomas, E.R., Wolff, E.W., Mulvaney, R., Steffensen, J.P., Johnsen, S.J., Arrowsmith, C., White, J.W.C., Vaughn, B. and Popp, T., 2007: The 8.2 ka event from Greenland ice cores, Quaternary Science Reviews, 26: 70-81.

Wiersma, A.P., Renssen, H., Goosse, H. and Fichefet, T., 2006: Evaluation of different freshwater forcing scenarios for the 8.2 ka BP event in a coupled climate model, Climate Dynamics, 27: 831-849.

Wiersma, A.P., Roche, D.M. and Renssen, H., 2008: Fingerprinting the 8.2 ka BP event climate response in a coupled climate model. In: Wiersma, A.P., Character and causes of the 8.2 ka climate event, comparing coupled climate model results and palaeoclimate reconstructions, PhD Thesis, VU University Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

M. Butzin, M. Prange and G. Lohmann

Broecker, W.S. and Barker, S., 2007: A 190‰ drop in atmosphere's ∆14C during the "Mystery Interval" (17.5 to 14.5 kyr), Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 256: 90–99.

Buck, C.E. and Blackwell, P.G., 2004: Formal statistical models for estimating radiocarbon calibration curves, Radiocarbon, 46: 1093–1102.

Butzin, M., Prange, M. and Lohmann, G., 2005: Radiocarbon simulations for the glacial ocean: The effects of wind stress, Southern Ocean sea ice and Heinrich events, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 235: 45–61.

Butzin, M., Prange, M. and Lohmann, G., 2008: Readjustment of glacial radiocarbon chronologies by self-consistent three-dimensional ocean circulation modeling. Quaternary Science Reviews: in review.

Cao, L., Fairbanks, R.G., Mortlock, R.A. and Risk, M.J., 2007: Radiocarbon reservoir age of high latitude North Atlantic surface water during the last deglacial, Quaternary Science Reviews, 26: 732-742.

Hughen, K.A., Southon, J., Lehman, S., Bertrand, C. and Turnbull, J, 2006: Marine-derived 14C calibration and activity record for the past 50,000 years updated from the Cariaco Basin, Quaternary Science Reviews, 25: 3216–3227.

Key, R.M., Kozyr, A., Sabine, C.L., Lee, K., Wanninkhof, R., Bullister, J.L., Feely, R.A., Millero, F.J., Mordy, C. and Peng, T.-H., 2004: A global ocean carbon climatology: Results from GLODAP, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18: GB4031.

Lynch-Stieglitz, J., et al., 2007: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation During the Last Glacial Maximum; Science, 316: 66–69.

Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Hewitt, C.D., Marchitto, T.M., Brady, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M. Murakami, S. and Weber, S.L., 2007: Last Glacial Maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: PMIP2 model intercomparison and data constraints, Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L12706.

Prange, M., Lohmann, G., Romanova, V. and Butzin, M., 2004: Modelling tempo-spatial signatures of Heinrich Events: Influence of the climatic background state, Quaternary Science Reviews, 23: 521-527.

N. Kühl, C. Gebhardt, F. Kaspar, A. Hense and T. Litt

Birks, H.H. and Birks, H.J.B., 2003: Reconstructing Holocene climates from pollen and plant macrofossils. In: A. Mackay, et al., (Eds): Global Change in the Holocene, Arnold, 342-357.

Felis, T., Lohmann, G., Kuhnert, H., Lorenz, S.J., Scholz, D., Pätzold, J., Al-Rousan, S.A., Al-Moghrabi, S. M., 2004: Increased seasonality in Middle East temperatures during the last interglacial period, Nature, 429: 164-168.

Gebhardt, C., 2003: Variational reconstruction of Quaternary temperature fields using mixture models as botanical-climatological transfer functions. Bonner Meteorologische Abhandlungen, 60: 205pp.

Gebhardt, C., Kühl, N., Hense, A. and Litt, T., 2008: Reconstruction of Quaternary temperature fields by dynamically consistent smoothing, Climate Dynamics, 30: 421-437.

Hense, A., Glowienka-Hense R., von Storch, H. and Stähler, U., 1990: Northern hemisphere atmospheric response to changes of Atlantic Ocean SST on decadal timescales: a GCM experiment, Climate Dynamics, 4: 157-174.

Kaspar, F., Kühl, N., Cubasch, U. and Litt, T., 2005: A model-data-comparison of European temperatures in the Eemian interglacial, Geophysical Research Letters, 32: L11703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022456.

Kaspar, F. and Cubasch, U. 2007: Simulations of the Eemian interglacial and the subsequent glacial inception with a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. In: F. Sirocko, et al., (Eds): The climate of past interglacials, Developments in Quaternary Sciences, Elsevier, 7: Chapter 33, 499-515.

Klaßen, J., Hense, A. and Römer, U., 1994: Climate anomalies north of 55°N associated with tropical climate extremes, International Journal of Climatology, 14: 829-842.

Kühl, N., Gebhardt, C., Litt, T. and Hense, A., 2002: Probability Density Functions as Botanical-Climatological Transfer Functions for Climate Reconstruction, Quaternary Research, 58: 381-392.

Kühl, N., 2003: Die Bestimmung botanisch-klimatologischer Transferfunktionen und die Rekonstruktion des bodennahen Klimazustandes in Europa während der Eem-Warmzeit, Dissertationes Botanicae, 375: 149 pp.

Le Dimet, F.-X. and Talagrand, O., 1986: Variational algorithms for analysis and assimilation of meteorological observations: theoretical aspects, Tellus, 38A: 97-110.

Min S.K., Legutke S., Hense A. And Kwin W.T., 2005: Internal variability in a 1000-yr control simulation with the coupled climate model ECHO-G – I. Near-surface temperature, precipitation and mean sea level pressure, Tellus, 57A: 605–621.

Min S.K. and Hense A., 2007: A Bayesian Assessment of Climate Change Using Multimodel Ensembles. Part II: Regional and Seasonal Mean Surface Temperatures, Journal of Climate, 20: 2769-2790.

New, M.G., Hulme, M. and Jones, P.D., 2000: Representing Twentieth-Century Space–Time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901–96 Monthly Grids of Terrestrial Surface Climate, Journal of Climate, 13: 2217-2238.

I. Meyer and S. Wagner

Beck, C., Grieser, J., Rudolf, B., 2004: A new monthly precipitation climatology for the global land areas for the period 1951 to 2000. In: Technical report, 18, Global precipitation Climatology Centre, c/o Deutscher Wetterdienst.

Eddy, J., 1976: The Maunder Minimum, Science, 192: 1189–2102.

Haberzettl, T., 2006: Late Quaternary hydrological variability in southeastern Patagonia- 45,000 years of terrestrial evidence from Laguna Potrok Aike, University of Bremen, Dissertation, 142 pages.

Harrison, S., Glasser, N., Winchester, V., Haresign, E., Warren, C. and Jansson, K., 2006: A glacial lake outburst flood associated with recent mountain glacier retreat, Patagonian Andes, The Holocene, 16(4): 611-620.

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J. and Briffa, K.R., 2001: The evolution of climate over the past millennium, Science, 292: 662–667.

Kistler, R. et al., 2001: The NCEP/NCAR 50-year reanalysis: monthly means CD ROM and documentation, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82, 247–267.

Koch., J. and Kilian, R., 2005: “Little Ice Age” glacier fluctuations, Gran Campo Nevado, southernmost Chile, The Holocene, 15(1): 20–28.

Lara, A. and Villalba, R., 1993: A 3620-Year Temperature Record From Fitzroya cupressoides Tree Ring in Southern South America, Science, 260: 104-1106.

Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Dietrich, D., Rickli, R., Jacobeit, J., Beck, C., Gyalistras, D.,Schmutz, C. and Wanner, H., 2002: Reconstruction of sea level pressure fields over the Eastern North Atlantic and Europe back to 1500, Climate Dynamics, 18: 545–561.

Mayr, C. et al., 2007: Holocene variability of the Southern Hemisphere westerlies in Argentiniean Patagonia (52°S), Quaternary Science Reviews, 26: 579-584.

Osborn, T and Briffa, K.R., 2006: The spatial extent of 20th-century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years, Science, 311: 841–844.

Stine, S. and Stine, M., 1990: A record from Lake Cardiel of climate change in southern South America, Nature, 345: 705-708.

Thompson, L.G., Mosley-Thompson, E., Dansgaard, W. and Grootes, P.M, 1986: The little Ice Age as recordet in the Stratigraphy of the tropical Quelccaya, Science, 234: 361–364.

Villalba, R., 1990: Climatic Fluctuations in Northern Patagonia during the Last 1000 Years as Inferred from Tree-Ring Records, Quaternary Research, 34: 346–360.

von Storch, H., Zorita, E., Jones, J., Dimitriev, Y., González-Rouco, F. and Tett, S., 2004: Reconstructing past climate from noisy data, Science, 306: 679-682.

Wagner, S., Widmann, M., Jones, J., Haberzettl, T., Lücke, A., Mayr, C., Ohlendorf, C., Schäbitz, F. and Zolitschka, B., 2007: Transient simulations, empirical reconstructions and forcing mechanisms for the Mid-Holocene hydrological climate in Southern Patagonia, Climate Dynamics, 29: 333-355.

Zorita, E., von Storch, H., Gonzalez-Rouco, J, Cubach, U., Luterbacher, J., Legutke, S., Fischer-Bruns, I. and Schlese, U., 2004: Transient simulation of the climate of the last five centuries with an atmosphere-ocean coupled model: Late Maunder Minimum and the Little Ice Age, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 13: 271–289.

T.J. Crowley, G. Zielinski, B. Vinther, R. Udisti, K. Kreutz, J. Cole-Dai, E. Castellano

Hegerl, G., Crowley, T., Baum, S., Kim, K.-Y. and Hyde, W., 2003: Detection of volcanic, solar, and greenhouse signals in paleo-reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperature, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(no. 5, 46-1 to 46-4): 1242, doi:10.1029/2002GL016635.

Hegerl, G., Crowley T., Hyde, W. and Frame, D., 2006: Constraints on climate sensitivity from temperature reconstructions of the last millennium, Nature, 440: 1029-1032.

Jones, P., Briffa, K., Barnett, T., and Tett, S., 1998: High resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium: Interpretation, integration, and comparison with General Circulation Model control-run temperatures, The Holocene, 8(4), 455-471.

Keen, R., 1983: Volcanic aerosols and lunar eclipses, Science, 222: 1011-1013.

Sato, M., Hansen, J., McCormick, M. and Pollack, J., 1993: Stratospheric aerosol optical depths, 1850-1990, Journal of Geophysical Research, 98: 22987-22994.

Stothers, R., 1996: Major optical depth perturbations to the stratosphere from volcanic eruptions: Pyrheliometric period, 1881-1960, Journal of Geophysical Research, 101(D2): 3901-3920.

N. Dittert, D.M. Anderson and H. Grobe

Anderson, D.M. and Mulitza, S., 2001: Compilation of delta 18O data from planktonic foraminifera in surface sediment, Publishing Network for Geoscientific and Environmental Data, doi: 10.1594/PANGAEA.60896.

Berlin Declaration on Open Access to Knowledge in the Sciences and Humanities, 2003: Berlin, 4.

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, 1998: Commission on Professional Self Regulation in Science, Proposals for safeguarding good scientific practice, German Research Foundation, Bonn, 38.

Frenzel, B., Pécsi, M. and Velichko, A., 2001: Atlas of Paleoclimates and Paleoenvironments of the Northern Hemisphere (digitized version), Publishing Network for Geoscientific and Environmental Data, doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.58194.

Gallego, D., Garcia-Herrera, R., Ribera, P. and Jones, P.D., 2005: Seasonal mean pressure reconstruction for the North Atlantic (1750–1850) based on early marine data, Climate of the Past, 1: 19-33.

Manley, G., 1974: Central England temperatures: monthly means 1659 to 1973, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 100: 389-405.

Müller, C., Schlindwein, V., Eckstaller, A. and Miller, H., 2005: Audio record of the ´singing iceberg´ from the Weddell Sea, Antarctica, Publishing Network for Geoscientific and Environmental Data, doi: 10.1594/PANGAEA.339110

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, OECD, 2007: Principles and Guidelines for Access to Research Data from Public Funding, OECD Publishing, Paris, 24.

Schindler, U. and Diepenbroek, M., 2008: Generic framework for metadata portals, Computer and Geosciences, in press.

The Association of Learned and Professional Society Publishers and The International Association of Scientific, Technical and Medical Publishers, 2006: Data bases, data sets, and data accessibility - views and practices of scholarly publishers, Brighton, UK, 2.

C. Turney, R. Duncan, N. Nicholls, A. Moberg and H. Pollack

Other collaborators:

Ed Cook: Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, USA

Rosanne D'Arrigo: Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, USA

Pavla Fenwick: Gondwana Tree-Ring Laboratory, Canterbury, New Zealand

Mike Gagan: Research School of Earth Sciences, Australian National University

Joelle Gergis: School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Ingo Heinrich: Institute of Chemistry and Dynamics of the Geosphere, Research Centre Jülich, Germany

Peter Kershaw: School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Janice Lough: Australian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville, Australia

Valérie Masson-Delmotte: Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.

Anders Moberg: Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, Sweden

Neville Nicholls: School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Jonathan Palmer: Gondwana Tree-Ring Laboratory, Canterbury, New Zealand

Henry Pollack: Department of Geological Sciences, University of Michigan, USA

Tas van Ommen: Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC & Australian Antarctic Division, Hobart, Australia

Rob Wilson: School of Geography & Geosciences, University of St Andrews, UK

Erica Hendy, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, UK

Article References:

Cook, E., Esper, J. and D’Arrigo, R., 2004: Extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere land temperature variability over the past 1000 years, Quaternary Science Reviews, 23: 2063–-2074.

Hegerl, G., Crowley T., Hyde, W. and Frame, D., 2006: Constraints on climate sensitivity from temperature reconstructions of the last millennium, Nature, 440: 1029-1032.

Jansen, E. et al., 2007: Palaeoclimate. In: S. Solomon et al. (Eds), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, USA.

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J. and Briffa, K.R., 2001: The evolution of climate over the last millennium, Science, 292: 662-667.

Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S. and Hughes, M.K., 1998: Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries, Nature, 392: 779-787.

Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S. and Hughes, M.K., 1999: Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncertainties, and limitations, Geophysical Research Letters, 26: 759-762.

Moberg, A., Sonechkin, D.M., Holmgren, K., Datsenko, N.M. and Karlén, W., 2005: Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data, Nature, 433: 613-617.

Nicholls, N., Collins, D., Trewin, B. and Hope, P., 2006: Historical instrumental climate data for Australia-Quality and utility for palaeoclimatic studies, Journal of Quaternary Science, 21: 681-688.

Osborn, T. and Briffa, K.R., 2006: The spatial extent of 20th-century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years, Science, 311: 841-844.

Pollack, H.N., Shaopeng, H. and Smerdon, J.E., 2006: Five centuries of climate change in Australia: The view from underground, Journal of Quaternary Science, 21: 701-706.

National Research Council, 2006: Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last

2,000 Years, National Academy of Sciences, The National Academies Press, Washington.

  © 2010 by PAGES / Webmaster ^ to top